Small Grants Programme: Climate change impacts on crop productivity in global semi-arid areas and selected semi-arid economies


Agricultural production in semi-arid regions is often low and subject to climate-related uncertainty and shocks. This working paper aims to address key knowledge gaps about the sources of uncertainty and key sensitivities in crop production under climate change conditions in the world’s semi-arid regions.

The results presented here are compiled from a large modelling inter-comparison exercise using state-of-the-art crop and climate models, and offer a consistent and comprehensive impact assessment of near-term climate change effects on the extent of semi-arid areas and crop yields across global semi-arid areas, and in six countries: Senegal, Burkina Faso, Tanzania, Kenya, Pakistan and Tajikistan.


Image: by Benny Lin: Creative Commons License